Thun vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
THU
1 - 2
SCH
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
THU
1 - 1
ZUR
47%
23%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
THU
2 - 2
FCK
82%
13%
5%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
THU
1 - 0
NEX
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2017 |
THU
3 - 0
KRI
76%
16%
9%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
WIN
3 - 1
CHI
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
NEX
4 - 1
WIN
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
WIN
1 - 3
SCH
26%
25%
49%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
WIL
0 - 1
WIN
35%
24%
41%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
WIN
0 - 3
ZUR
14%
21%
64%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | -1 |