Thun vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
LUG
3 - 1
THU
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
THU
0 - 4
LAC
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
SER
4 - 1
THU
25%
24%
51%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
THU
0 - 4
BAS
20%
23%
57%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
THU
2 - 1
LOC
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
WIN
0 - 1
LAC
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
SER
0 - 0
WIN
53%
23%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
WIN
0 - 2
STG
19%
23%
59%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
CON
3 - 3
WIN
58%
21%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
WIN
1 - 2
STA
61%
22%
18%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |