Thun vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
SCH
4 - 0
THU
22%
24%
55%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
THU
0 - 2
GCZ
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
NEX
0 - 3
THU
18%
23%
59%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
THU
2 - 0
KRI
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
STA
1 - 3
THU
20%
24%
57%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
STA
1 - 1
FCA
30%
24%
46%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
WIL
2 - 0
STA
32%
26%
42%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
STA
4 - 1
WIN
30%
26%
45%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 0
STA
20%
23%
57%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
STA
1 - 3
THU
20%
24%
57%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |