Thun vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
45.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
SIO
2 - 1
THU
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
THU
0 - 3
LUG
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
NEX
2 - 3
THU
47%
24%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
THU
0 - 1
ZUR
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
WIN
1 - 0
THU
27%
23%
50%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
FCL
1 - 4
STG
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
STG
4 - 1
NEX
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
SCF
0 - 0
STG
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
YOB
4 - 3
STG
76%
15%
9%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
STG
3 - 0
SIO
45%
25%
31%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |