Thun vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
26.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
VEY
1 - 5
THU
1%
3%
96%
|
74 | 19 | 55 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
NEX
1 - 5
THU
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
STG
3 - 2
THU
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
THU
2 - 1
FCL
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
ZUR
2 - 1
THU
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
DIE
0 - 4
LUG
5%
11%
85%
|
71 | 27 | 44 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 2
GCZ
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
FCL
4 - 2
LUG
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
LUG
0 - 2
YOB
22%
24%
54%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
SIO
1 - 2
LUG
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |