Thun vs Kriens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2017 |
FCV
1 - 3
THU
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
THU
0 - 0
YOB
31%
25%
44%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
LAU
0 - 0
THU
34%
27%
38%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
THU
3 - 1
GCZ
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
BAS
3 - 3
THU
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Kriens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
FCZ
1 - 0
KRI
30%
23%
47%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
KRI
0 - 1
BRE
66%
20%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
LAC
1 - 1
KRI
22%
22%
56%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2017 |
SCB
2 - 1
KRI
26%
23%
51%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
KRI
0 - 0
STA
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |