Thun vs Kriens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
THU
1 - 0
SCH
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
RHN
0 - 4
THU
11%
18%
72%
|
60 | 7 | 53 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
LOC
0 - 2
THU
30%
25%
46%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
THU
9 - 0
STA
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
LAU
3 - 1
THU
39%
26%
36%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Kriens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
FCV
1 - 1
KRI
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
BUO
1 - 6
KRI
19%
21%
60%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
KRI
3 - 0
BIE
47%
25%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
WIL
3 - 3
KRI
59%
23%
19%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2009 |
KRI
1 - 1
FCG
69%
18%
13%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |