Thun vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
4º
9º
6º
37
6º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
NEX
1 - 1
THU
14%
20%
66%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
STA
2 - 2
THU
28%
24%
48%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
THU
2 - 3
FCA
44%
24%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 2
THU
29%
24%
47%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
THU
2 - 0
BEL
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FCV
0 - 0
YVE
35%
25%
40%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
FCV
1 - 1
LAU
34%
27%
40%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 6
FCV
20%
24%
57%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
FCV
1 - 4
SCH
38%
25%
37%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
ESC
1 - 2
FCV
5%
12%
84%
|
62 | 31 | 31 | 0 |