Thun vs Chiasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
THU
2 - 0
WIN
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
THU
1 - 2
SCH
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
THU
1 - 1
ZUR
47%
23%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
THU
2 - 2
FCK
82%
13%
5%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
THU
1 - 0
NEX
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
CHI
0 - 2
LUG
11%
18%
71%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
CHI
0 - 3
SIO
10%
17%
73%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
WIN
3 - 1
CHI
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 2
LEM
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
FCA
2 - 3
CHI
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |