Thun vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
59.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
SIO
1 - 1
THU
61%
22%
18%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
THU
3 - 0
STG
35%
25%
40%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
THU
2 - 2
GCZ
24%
25%
51%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
NEX
2 - 3
THU
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
THU
1 - 1
YOB
15%
20%
65%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 0
SHF
72%
17%
10%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 4
FCL
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
SCF
1 - 3
BAS
27%
24%
49%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
BEL
1 - 0
BAS
17%
21%
62%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2010 |
BAS
3 - 1
DVS
66%
19%
16%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |