Thun II vs Breitenrain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
27.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
SOL
1 - 3
THU
60%
20%
20%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
THU
1 - 1
DOR
32%
23%
45%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
BAS
6 - 0
THU
84%
11%
6%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
THU
1 - 3
MUN
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
SCH
3 - 1
THU
53%
22%
25%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Breitenrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
BRE
1 - 3
BUM
75%
15%
9%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
MUT
1 - 2
BRE
36%
24%
40%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
BRE
4 - 2
LAU
64%
20%
17%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
GRA
3 - 0
BRE
48%
24%
29%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
BRE
2 - 0
ZOF
48%
23%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |