Thisted vs Varde IF Elite analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
12.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SYD
4 - 3
THI
22%
21%
57%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
THI
2 - 1
KOL
46%
23%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
MID
2 - 3
THI
27%
22%
51%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
THI
2 - 2
SVE
54%
22%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ODD
1 - 2
THI
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Varde IF Elite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
VAR
0 - 3
MAR
26%
22%
52%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 2
SYD
54%
22%
24%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
KOL
5 - 2
VAR
70%
17%
13%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 2
MID
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
VAR
3 - 2
RIN
28%
23%
49%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +2 |