Thisted vs Esbjerg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
45.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
6º
6º
65
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
65 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
66 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 15 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 6 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 6 |
6º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
THI
0 - 3
KOL
24%
26%
50%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
AAF
2 - 1
THI
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
THI
0 - 0
B93
23%
23%
53%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
THI
0 - 0
SKI
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
ROS
0 - 1
THI
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ESB
0 - 2
AKA
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
B93
1 - 2
ESB
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ESB
1 - 0
KOL
33%
27%
41%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
AKA
0 - 0
ESB
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
THI
1 - 0
ESB
27%
25%
48%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |