Thierrens vs Grünstern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thierrens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
FAR
3 - 0
THI
13%
19%
69%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
THI
2 - 2
LAU
23%
21%
56%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
POR
0 - 2
THI
41%
23%
37%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
THI
3 - 2
LYS
49%
21%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
DUR
3 - 0
THI
34%
23%
43%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Grünstern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
GRU
1 - 3
LAC
8%
16%
76%
|
16 | 49 | 33 | 0 |