Thierrens vs Farvagny / Ogoz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
13.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+121%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thierrens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ECH
3 - 1
THI
51%
22%
27%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
THI
1 - 0
LOC
67%
17%
16%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
RIC
2 - 3
THI
50%
22%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
THI
1 - 5
STA
62%
19%
20%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
VAL
2 - 1
THI
66%
18%
16%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Farvagny / Ogoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
FAR
0 - 4
DAR
26%
22%
52%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
COL
2 - 2
FAR
55%
21%
24%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
FAR
2 - 2
POR
11%
16%
73%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
FAR
1 - 3
TPA
24%
21%
55%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ECH
2 - 1
FAR
64%
19%
18%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |