National Third Division Round 26

Thesprotos vs Tilikratis analysis

Thesprotos Tilikratis
45 ELO 49
-16.6% Tilt -18.4%
5877º General ELO ranking 5034º
64º Country ELO ranking 53º
ELO win probability
37.7%
Thesprotos
27.3%
Draw
35%
Tilikratis

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
Thesprotos
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
35%
Win probability
Tilikratis
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Thesprotos
-24%
-26%
Tilikratis

Points and table prediction

Thesprotos
Their league position
Tilikratis
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
56
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Anagennisi Karditsas
85
88
74.5%
Pierikos
84
87
74.5%
Tilikratis
56
56
25%
Anagennisi Arta
56
56
29.5%
Trikala
53
54
11.5%
Thesprotos
54
54
36%
Anthoupoli
54
54
73.5%
Aris Filiaton
50
51
28%
Zakynthos
50
51
18%
Philippos Alexandreia
10º
50
50
10º
28.5%
Kozani FC
11º
49
50
11º
16.5%
Aiginiakos
12º
47
50
12º
42.5%
Olympiakos Volos
13º
44
45
13º
97%
Atromitos Palamas
14º
38
39
14º
100%
Amvrakikos Vonitsas
15º
22
23
15º
100%
Svoronos
17º
7
19
16º
100%
Ermis Amyntaio
16º
8
9
17º
30.5%
Asteras Petriti
18º
0
9
18º
30.5%
Expected probabilities
Thesprotos
Tilikratis
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Thesprotos
Tilikratis
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Thesprotos
Thesprotos
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2025
AIG
Aiginiakos
1 - 0
Thesprotos
THE
40%
26%
34%
47 38 9 0
16 Feb. 2025
THE
Thesprotos
1 - 0
Kozani FC
MAK
32%
27%
41%
45 50 5 +2
12 Feb. 2025
GAS
Svoronos
0 - 0
Thesprotos
THE
33%
27%
40%
45 35 10 0
08 Feb. 2025
AMV
Amvrakikos Vonitsas
0 - 1
Thesprotos
THE
22%
22%
57%
45 25 20 0
05 Feb. 2025
EMA
Ermis Amyntaio
0 - 4
Thesprotos
THE
15%
19%
66%
44 11 33 +1

Matches

Tilikratis
Tilikratis
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2025
TIL
Tilikratis
1 - 0
Amvrakikos Vonitsas
AMV
69%
19%
13%
48 24 24 0
16 Feb. 2025
OLY
Olympiakos Volos
0 - 1
Tilikratis
TIL
28%
27%
45%
47 39 8 +1
12 Feb. 2025
TIL
Tilikratis
0 - 0
Philippos Alexandreia
PHA
62%
21%
17%
47 35 12 0
08 Feb. 2025
TRI
Trikala
1 - 0
Tilikratis
TIL
27%
27%
46%
48 41 7 -1
02 Feb. 2025
TIL
Tilikratis
4 - 1
Ermis Amyntaio
EMA
83%
11%
6%
48 11 37 0