Thespa Gunma vs V-Varen Nagasaki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
33%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
ROA
1 - 1
THE
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
THE
2 - 1
JEF
34%
28%
39%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ZWE
3 - 1
THE
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
THE
1 - 1
MAT
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CON
3 - 1
THE
68%
21%
12%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
YOK
2 - 2
VVA
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
VVA
1 - 2
TOK
44%
29%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FAG
0 - 0
VVA
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
VVA
0 - 0
CON
30%
30%
40%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CER
2 - 0
VVA
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |