National Third Division Round 19

Thermaikos Thermis vs Orfeas Xanthi analysis

Thermaikos Thermis Orfeas Xanthi
34 ELO 30
-16.2% Tilt -13.6%
6821º General ELO ranking 37514º
73º Country ELO ranking 326º
ELO win probability
50.3%
Thermaikos Thermis
23%
Draw
26.7%
Orfeas Xanthi

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
Thermaikos Thermis
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
26.7%
Win probability
Orfeas Xanthi
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Thermaikos Thermis
Their league position
Orfeas Xanthi
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
11º
30
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Kampaniakos Chalastra
58
59
100%
Kavala
52
55
100%
Poseidon Nea Michaniona
50
53
100%
Doxa Dramas
46
49
100%
Apollon Paralimniou
47
47
59.5%
Panthrakikos
46
47
59.5%
Nestos Chrisoupolis
40
41
100%
Aris Avato
41
41
100%
Thermaikos Thermis
39
40
100%
Pandramaikos
10º
37
37
10º
100%
Byron Kavala
11º
31
32
11º
65.5%
Orfeas Xanthi
12º
30
30
12º
40.5%
Agrotikos Asteras
13º
29
30
13º
40.5%
Antheias-Aristinou
14º
12
13
14º
100%
Alexandroupolis FC
15º
3
4
15º
100%
Expected probabilities
Thermaikos Thermis
Orfeas Xanthi
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Thermaikos Thermis
Orfeas Xanthi
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Thermaikos Thermis
Thermaikos Thermis
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2023
BYK
Byron Kavala
1 - 0
Thermaikos Thermis
THT
25%
22%
53%
34 25 9 0
19 Feb. 2023
THT
Thermaikos Thermis
1 - 1
Antheias-Aristinou
EAA
72%
17%
11%
34 23 11 0
12 Feb. 2023
AGR
Agrotikos Asteras
1 - 1
Thermaikos Thermis
THT
55%
22%
23%
34 39 5 0
08 Feb. 2023
KAM
Kampaniakos Chalastra
2 - 0
Thermaikos Thermis
THT
58%
20%
22%
35 38 3 -1
05 Feb. 2023
THT
Thermaikos Thermis
1 - 2
Apollon Paralimniou
APP
27%
27%
46%
36 44 8 -1

Matches

Orfeas Xanthi
Orfeas Xanthi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2023
OPX
Orfeas Xanthi
2 - 2
Panthrakikos
PFC
39%
24%
37%
31 33 2 0
19 Feb. 2023
ASM
Alexandroupolis FC
1 - 2
Orfeas Xanthi
OPX
15%
20%
66%
31 18 13 0
12 Feb. 2023
NES
Nestos Chrisoupolis
2 - 1
Orfeas Xanthi
OPX
48%
24%
28%
31 32 1 0
04 Feb. 2023
OPX
Orfeas Xanthi
1 - 1
Doxa Dramas
DOX
20%
23%
57%
30 44 14 +1
29 Jan. 2023
ARA
Aris Avato
1 - 0
Orfeas Xanthi
OPX
46%
25%
28%
31 34 3 -1