The Villages vs Miami analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
6.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Villages
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
NFC
1 - 0
VIL
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
MCI
2 - 3
VIL
19%
23%
59%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
TBR
78%
14%
8%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
FLO
2 - 2
VIL
8%
14%
78%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 2
NFC
71%
17%
12%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Miami
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
FLO
1 - 2
MAC
19%
20%
61%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2022 |
MAC
2 - 1
CSC
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 2
NFC
28%
22%
51%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
TBR
1 - 0
MAC
49%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
MAC
2 - 0
MCI
51%
21%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |