The Strongest vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
29.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2001 |
RIV
5 - 1
STR
80%
13%
7%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2000 |
STR
2 - 1
GUA
56%
22%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
OPE
1 - 0
STR
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2000 |
MBB
2 - 4
STR
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
STR
4 - 0
APB
77%
15%
9%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2001 |
GUA
3 - 1
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2000 |
GUA
0 - 1
CCC
61%
22%
18%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
CAC
1 - 1
GUA
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
GUA
0 - 0
OLI
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
LQE
0 - 0
GUA
33%
26%
42%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |