The Strongest vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.2%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.5%
3.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 0
STR
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
STR
6 - 1
BLO
75%
15%
10%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
STR
4 - 0
DES
88%
8%
3%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
REA
2 - 2
STR
39%
24%
37%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
STR
6 - 2
RPO
82%
12%
6%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
GUA
3 - 1
AUR
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
AUR
1 - 6
SAN
15%
22%
63%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
AUR
0 - 1
BLO
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
DES
1 - 0
AUR
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
AUR
1 - 1
REA
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |