The Strongest vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 1
STR
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
STR
1 - 1
SAN
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
AUR
2 - 0
STR
50%
26%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
STR
1 - 2
JWI
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
STR
6 - 0
RPO
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
BOL
5 - 1
RPO
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 1
BOL
37%
26%
38%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
BOL
5 - 1
JWI
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
BOL
1 - 1
SAN
48%
23%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
BOL
1 - 2
UNI
60%
22%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |