Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda. Final
Global 1-5
The New Saints vs Midtjylland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
55.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
LRI
1 - 1
TNS
55%
20%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
TNS
2 - 1
LRI
37%
21%
42%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
TNS
4 - 0
SHK
45%
22%
33%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
SHK
5 - 0
TNS
46%
22%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2018 |
TNS
2 - 0
FAL
67%
18%
15%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Midtjylland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
VEJ
1 - 3
MID
15%
22%
63%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
MID
0 - 0
AST
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
MID
3 - 1
ESB
74%
17%
10%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
AST
2 - 1
MID
32%
24%
44%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
AAB
2 - 1
MID
19%
23%
59%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |