Welsh Premier League Ronda Campeonato Jor. 10

The New Saints vs Connah's Quay analysis

The New Saints Connah's Quay
67 ELO 65
55.1% Tilt 23.8%
1421º General ELO ranking 1479º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
64.2%
The New Saints
19.1%
Draw
16.7%
Connah's Quay

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
The New Saints
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.7%
Win probability
Connah's Quay
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
The New Saints
+55%
+5%
Connah's Quay

Points and table prediction

The New Saints
Their league position
Connah's Quay
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
92
59
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
The New Saints
92
30
100%
Bala Town
51
14
100%
Connah's Quay
59
12
100%
Newtown
44
11
100%
Caernarfon Town FC
41
10
100%
Cardiff MU
39
5
100%
Expected probabilities
The New Saints
Connah's Quay
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
100% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 100%
Play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

The New Saints
Connah's Quay
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

The New Saints
The New Saints
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2024
CAR
Cardiff MU
0 - 5
The New Saints
TNS
36%
25%
38%
66 64 2 0
09 Apr. 2024
TNS
The New Saints
4 - 1
Bala Town
BAL
63%
19%
18%
66 66 0 0
05 Apr. 2024
TNS
The New Saints
7 - 1
Caernarfon Town FC
CAE
66%
18%
16%
66 62 4 0
30 Mar. 2024
CAR
Cardiff MU
2 - 6
The New Saints
TNS
41%
23%
36%
66 67 1 0
24 Mar. 2024
TNS
The New Saints
1 - 2
Airdrieonians
AIR
63%
18%
19%
67 67 0 -1

Matches

Connah's Quay
Connah's Quay
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2024
CON
Connah's Quay
0 - 0
Bala Town
BAL
45%
26%
29%
66 66 0 0
06 Apr. 2024
CAR
Cardiff MU
0 - 3
Connah's Quay
CON
45%
26%
29%
66 65 1 0
29 Mar. 2024
CON
Connah's Quay
0 - 0
Newtown
NEW
48%
24%
27%
66 63 3 0
23 Mar. 2024
CON
Connah's Quay
1 - 0
Bala Town
BAL
44%
23%
32%
66 67 1 0
15 Mar. 2024
CAE
Caernarfon Town FC
2 - 1
Connah's Quay
CON
43%
25%
32%
66 61 5 0
X