The New Saints vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+92%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
CON
0 - 1
TNS
4%
10%
87%
|
67 | 30 | 37 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
TNS
3 - 1
BAR
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
TNS
27%
24%
50%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
TNS
6 - 0
LUF
92%
6%
2%
|
67 | 7 | 60 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
TNS
1 - 0
FLI
73%
16%
11%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ABE
4 - 1
CEF
78%
13%
9%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
ABE
2 - 5
CAR
43%
24%
33%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 2
ABE
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ABE
0 - 1
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
ABE
9 - 0
ABF
88%
9%
3%
|
55 | 12 | 43 | 0 |