The Gap vs Toowong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
73.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
10%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
GAP
1 - 4
BAY
20%
20%
61%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
CAB
2 - 1
GAP
57%
20%
23%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
GAP
1 - 4
BRK
63%
18%
19%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
GAP
4 - 3
ACA
65%
18%
18%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
NOR
3 - 2
GAP
20%
19%
60%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Toowong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
TAR
0 - 3
TOO
46%
21%
34%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
TOO
4 - 1
STO
83%
11%
6%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
TOO
3 - 4
GEO
33%
24%
43%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
ALB
3 - 2
TOO
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
GRA
1 - 1
TOO
50%
21%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |