The Gap vs Toowong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
48.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
GRA
2 - 2
GAP
70%
17%
14%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2019 |
GAP
5 - 2
STO
65%
18%
18%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 0
GAP
42%
22%
37%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
TOO
4 - 4
GAP
77%
14%
10%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
GAP
2 - 2
BAY
27%
21%
52%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Toowong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
TOO
1 - 0
TAR
63%
18%
19%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
CAB
4 - 1
TOO
17%
19%
65%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -3 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
TOO
1 - 0
STO
82%
11%
7%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
TOO
4 - 4
GAP
77%
14%
10%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
TOO
3 - 3
ALB
58%
19%
22%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |