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Brisbane. Matchday 22

The Gap vs St George Willawong analysis

The Gap St George Willawong
4 ELO 5
-36% Tilt 170%
12515º General ELO ranking 11848º
183º Country ELO ranking 173º
ELO win probability
9.4%
The Gap
14%
Draw
76.5%
St George Willawong

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
The Gap
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
76.5%
Win probability
St George Willawong
2.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
The Gap
-37%
+148%
St George Willawong

Points and table prediction

The Gap
Their league position
St George Willawong
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
12º
12º
12º
35
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Albany Creek
54
59
100%
Bayside United
43
46
100%
The Lakes
39
41
100%
St George Willawong
35
38
99%
Toowong
32
34
100%
Acacia Ridge
30
32
96%
Mount Gravatt Hawks SC
28
30
77%
Centenary Stormers
23
24
78%
Univ. Queensland
22
23
82%
Western Spirit
10º
15
19
10º
39%
Brisbane Knights
11º
14
17
11º
52%
The Gap
12º
12
13
12º
81%
Expected probabilities
The Gap
St George Willawong
Champion
0% 0%
Final season
0% 100%
Mid-table
7% 0%
Relegation
93% 0%

ELO progression

The Gap
GAP
St George Willawong
GEO
Brisbane Knights
BRK
The Lakes
TLA
Albany Creek
ALB
Univ. Queensland
UNI
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

The Gap
The Gap
1%
X%
2%
ELO GAP ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 2021
GAP
The Gap
0 - 1
Acacia Ridge
ACA
46%
27%
27%
68 77 -9 0
12 Sep. 2021
ALB
Albany Creek
4 - 0
The Gap
GAP
45%
27%
28%
68 86 18 0
04 Sep. 2021
GAP
The Gap
1 - 0
The Lakes
TLA
42%
27%
31%
68 203 -135 0
27 Jul. 2021
GAP
The Gap
0 - 0
Centenary Stormers
STO
46%
27%
28%
68 89 -21 0
24 Jul. 2021
GAP
The Gap
2 - 1
Mount Gravatt Hawks SC
MGH
39%
28%
34%
67 249 -182 0

Matches

St George Willawong
St George Willawong
1%
X%
2%
ELO GEO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 2021
UNI
Univ. Queensland
1 - 2
St George Willawong
GEO
41%
28%
31%
99 33 -66 0
12 Sep. 2021
GEO
St George Willawong
1 - 2
Toowong
TOO
46%
27%
27%
99 94 5 0
04 Sep. 2021
GEO
St George Willawong
4 - 0
Brisbane Knights
BRK
46%
27%
27%
99 93 6 0
17 Jul. 2021
BAY
Bayside United
3 - 0
St George Willawong
GEO
46%
27%
27%
99 87 -12 -1
11 Jul. 2021
ACA
Acacia Ridge
3 - 2
St George Willawong
GEO
46%
27%
28%
100 76 -24 0