The Gap vs Centenary Stormers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
45.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
GAP
2 - 6
TOO
13%
17%
71%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
GAP
1 - 4
PIN
27%
21%
52%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
WES
2 - 2
GAP
38%
22%
40%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
BAY
0 - 0
GAP
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
BRK
1 - 3
GAP
39%
22%
40%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Centenary Stormers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
GEO
1 - 1
STO
87%
9%
4%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ACA
2 - 1
STO
63%
19%
19%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
STO
1 - 2
ALB
7%
13%
80%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
TLA
1 - 1
STO
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
STO
3 - 2
WES
62%
18%
20%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |