The Cong vs Nam Dinh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Cong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
HAI
2 - 1
TCF
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
BIN
0 - 1
TCF
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
DAN
1 - 2
TCF
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
SON
8 - 1
TCF
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
TCF
1 - 1
NHD
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nam Dinh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
NAM
1 - 0
DAN
43%
29%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
BIN
0 - 0
NAM
41%
28%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2007 |
BIN
3 - 1
NAM
58%
22%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
QUA
1 - 1
NAM
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
NAM
1 - 2
LON
31%
27%
43%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |