Thatcham Town vs Guernsey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
27.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thatcham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
THA
0 - 2
SCR
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
THA
0 - 2
ASH
63%
20%
18%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 4
THA
21%
22%
57%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
THA
3 - 3
BED
28%
24%
48%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 0
THA
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Guernsey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
BIN
1 - 1
GUE
58%
20%
22%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
BED
3 - 1
GUE
71%
17%
13%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
NOR
1 - 1
GUE
51%
22%
28%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
STA
2 - 8
GUE
36%
22%
42%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
SCR
0 - 2
GUE
26%
21%
53%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |