Non League Div One Isthmian South Central Round 22

Thatcham Town vs Ashford Town analysis

Thatcham Town Ashford Town
24 ELO 21
-0.8% Tilt 4.2%
9891º General ELO ranking 12536º
518º Country ELO ranking 731º
ELO win probability
62.7%
Thatcham Town
19.6%
Draw
17.7%
Ashford Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
Thatcham Town
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.7%
Win probability
Ashford Town
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Thatcham Town
+1%
+41%
Ashford Town

ELO progression

Thatcham Town
Ashford Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Thatcham Town
Thatcham Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Feb. 2022
CHA
Chalfont St Peter
0 - 4
Thatcham Town
THA
21%
22%
57%
24 18 6 0
29 Jan. 2022
THA
Thatcham Town
3 - 3
Bedfont Sports
BED
28%
24%
48%
24 31 7 0
22 Jan. 2022
BRA
Bracknell Town FC
2 - 0
Thatcham Town
THA
83%
11%
6%
24 42 18 0
15 Jan. 2022
THA
Thatcham Town
3 - 1
South Park FC
SOU
51%
22%
27%
23 21 2 +1
03 Jan. 2022
UXB
Uxbridge
3 - 2
Thatcham Town
THA
74%
16%
10%
24 38 14 -1

Matches

Ashford Town
Ashford Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Feb. 2022
ASH
Ashford Town
1 - 2
Uxbridge
UXB
15%
20%
66%
21 37 16 0
01 Feb. 2022
HAN
Hanwell Town
3 - 0
Ashford Town
ASH
84%
11%
5%
21 39 18 0
29 Jan. 2022
BIN
Binfield
1 - 1
Ashford Town
ASH
65%
18%
17%
21 26 5 0
25 Jan. 2022
ASH
Ashford Town
1 - 0
Staines Town
STA
57%
20%
23%
21 18 3 0
22 Jan. 2022
ASH
Ashford Town
2 - 4
Westfield FC
WES
42%
24%
35%
22 23 1 -1