Thaon vs Forbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thaon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
THA
1 - 0
RCE
36%
24%
40%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
SAI
1 - 2
THA
56%
24%
20%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
DIJ
1 - 1
THA
71%
18%
11%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
THA
1 - 0
TRO
21%
24%
55%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
THA
0 - 3
COL
39%
24%
37%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Forbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 3
LUN
25%
24%
52%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
RCE
3 - 0
FOR
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ILL
2 - 0
FOR
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 3
RCE
24%
23%
53%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 6
DIJ
19%
23%
58%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -2 |