Alcantarilla FC vs Minerva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
62.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcantarilla FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 5
BAL
33%
23%
45%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
BAL
4 - 0
ALC
53%
22%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 5
ALC
32%
23%
45%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 2
CDL
65%
19%
16%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
ABA
1 - 3
ALC
54%
21%
26%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Minerva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
MIN
2 - 1
BAL
68%
17%
16%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 2
MIN
30%
23%
47%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
MIN
0 - 0
CIE
60%
20%
21%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
MSM
0 - 1
MIN
21%
22%
58%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MIN
6 - 1
SPO
81%
12%
7%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |