Thackley vs Harrogate Railway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
56.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thackley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
NEW
2 - 0
THA
74%
15%
11%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
ABB
1 - 0
THA
74%
16%
10%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
THA
2 - 2
ABB
16%
20%
64%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
DUR
1 - 3
THA
89%
8%
4%
|
8 | 33 | 25 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
THA
1 - 3
GUI
18%
21%
62%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Harrogate Railway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
GAR
2 - 0
HAR
24%
20%
56%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 5
CON
21%
21%
59%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
HAR
3 - 1
NOR
77%
14%
10%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 3
HAR
35%
22%
43%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 1
ALB
57%
20%
23%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |