Ternesse vs Antonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-88%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
8º
5º
40
5º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HER
0 - 1
TER
5%
11%
85%
|
31 | 8 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TER
1 - 2
TIS
57%
19%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GBA
1 - 0
TER
27%
22%
52%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TER
2 - 0
DEK
64%
18%
18%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RAN
1 - 3
TER
19%
19%
62%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Antonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ANT
4 - 0
VOR
63%
18%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SKS
2 - 4
ANT
31%
23%
46%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ANT
1 - 1
MAR
35%
23%
42%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TIS
4 - 2
ANT
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ANT
1 - 7
RET
36%
22%
42%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -2 |