Tercio Duque de Alba vs Polillas Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
29.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+83%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tercio Duque de Alba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
ADC
3 - 3
TDA
82%
11%
6%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
HID
3 - 4
TDA
47%
21%
32%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 3
TDA
89%
8%
3%
|
3 | 12 | 9 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
TDA
0 - 3
CDC
9%
14%
76%
|
4 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
TDA
0 - 1
CJU
4%
9%
87%
|
4 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Polillas Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
POL
0 - 3
CDB
7%
11%
82%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
ADC
4 - 3
POL
79%
13%
8%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
POL
2 - 4
HID
76%
15%
10%
|
9 | 3 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
CJU
3 - 1
POL
90%
7%
3%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CDC
1 - 2
POL
75%
14%
11%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | +1 |