Tercio Duque de Alba vs AD Ceuta FC C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
74.4%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+83%
-74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points