Tenerife vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
73.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.6%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tenerife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
CDT
3 - 0
CAR
66%
22%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 2
CDT
19%
23%
58%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 1
CDT
23%
27%
51%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2020 |
CDT
2 - 0
GIR
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
SES
0 - 2
CDT
5%
14%
81%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
CEL
0 - 4
VIL
23%
23%
54%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2021 |
ZAM
1 - 4
VIL
5%
15%
80%
|
89 | 45 | 44 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
LEV
64%
20%
17%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
SEV
2 - 0
VIL
41%
25%
35%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 1
ATH
63%
20%
17%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |