Team Wellington vs Hawkes Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
10.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
TEA
3 - 1
SOU
82%
12%
6%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
TEA
2 - 0
TAS
75%
15%
10%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
WAI
0 - 3
TEA
28%
23%
49%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
WEL
1 - 4
TEA
25%
23%
52%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
AUC
4 - 3
TEA
49%
23%
28%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
HAW
0 - 2
HAW
73%
16%
11%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
AUC
2 - 1
HAW
68%
18%
14%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
HAW
2 - 2
CAN
36%
25%
39%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
EAS
5 - 0
HAW
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
HAW
1 - 3
SOU
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |