Team Wellington vs Canterbury United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
9.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
EAS
1 - 1
TEA
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
TEA
2 - 2
AUC
47%
23%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
WAI
2 - 2
TEA
26%
23%
51%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
TEA
2 - 1
HAW
82%
12%
6%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
WEL
0 - 1
TEA
19%
21%
61%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Canterbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
CAN
1 - 0
AUC
15%
22%
63%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
HAW
0 - 3
CAN
43%
23%
34%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
CAN
2 - 3
HAW
58%
22%
21%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
EAS
3 - 1
CAN
61%
22%
18%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
CAN
0 - 4
WAI
39%
24%
37%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -2 |