Team Wellington vs Canterbury United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
15.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
EAS
1 - 2
TEA
32%
27%
42%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
TEA
2 - 2
HAW
74%
15%
11%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
TEA
3 - 1
SOU
82%
12%
6%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
TEA
2 - 0
TAS
75%
15%
10%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
WAI
0 - 3
TEA
28%
23%
49%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Canterbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CAN
3 - 3
HAW
73%
17%
9%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
AUC
4 - 1
CAN
60%
21%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
WEL
2 - 3
CAN
24%
24%
51%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CAN
1 - 3
EAS
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
HAW
2 - 2
CAN
36%
25%
39%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |