Team Wellington vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
HAW
2 - 2
TEA
36%
24%
40%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
TEA
3 - 2
WEL
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
TEA
4 - 1
SOU
78%
14%
7%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
TEA
3 - 1
WAI
65%
19%
16%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CAN
2 - 1
TEA
30%
24%
46%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
AUC
3 - 1
SOU
82%
12%
6%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
WAI
0 - 2
AUC
32%
27%
42%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
AUC
11%
18%
71%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
AUC
4 - 1
CAN
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
WEL
1 - 3
AUC
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |