Team Helm vs Narva Trans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.5%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
85.8%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
19%
0-4
9.2%
1-5
3.8%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13.8%
0-5
5.9%
1-6
2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
8.2%
0-6
3.1%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.2%
0-7
1.4%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0%
-7
1.8%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Helm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2020 |
POS
3 - 3
THJ
47%
21%
32%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2020 |
THJ
2 - 1
TKA
9%
15%
76%
|
16 | 50 | 34 | +7 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
THJ
2 - 1
HUN
68%
17%
15%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
THJ
1 - 21
LEV
3%
9%
89%
|
16 | 82 | 66 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
THJ
3 - 2
RUM
32%
22%
47%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
KAL
2 - 1
TRA
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
TRA
0 - 1
TUL
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
TJK
2 - 1
TRA
48%
23%
29%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
TRA
0 - 0
KUR
71%
17%
12%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
LEV
3 - 0
TRA
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |