Team Aargau Sub 18 vs FC Thun Sub 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.7%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.9%
4.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Aargau Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
TTI
3 - 1
TEA
31%
22%
47%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
TEA
3 - 1
FCS
50%
21%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
TEA
6 - 3
LSS
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
TEA
0 - 1
FCB
17%
17%
67%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
TEA
3 - 2
FLK
31%
21%
48%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
FC Thun Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
FCT
1 - 3
FCZ
10%
16%
74%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
LSS
4 - 4
FCT
78%
13%
9%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
SFC
8 - 2
FCT
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
BYB
4 - 2
FCT
89%
8%
3%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
TWC
8 - 2
FCT
80%
12%
8%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |