Aarau U18 vs FC Basel U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
67.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
STG
3 - 1
TAA
67%
18%
14%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
TAA
0 - 2
TTI
41%
24%
35%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SFC
5 - 1
TAA
69%
18%
13%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
TAA
3 - 2
GCZ
17%
20%
63%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
TBJ
0 - 1
TAA
21%
23%
56%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Basel U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
FCB
3 - 4
TVA
75%
15%
10%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
TWC
2 - 4
FCB
22%
22%
57%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
FCB
6 - 2
FCS
77%
15%
9%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
FLK
0 - 3
FCB
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
FCB
5 - 3
BYB
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |