Tauro II vs Centenario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.8%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
4.4%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
6º
2º
5
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tauro II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
TFC
3 - 0
CDE
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 1
TFC
22%
23%
55%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
TFC
1 - 1
PCF
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
CDP
1 - 0
TFC
34%
25%
42%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
TFC
6 - 0
SMA
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
CEN
7 - 2
COL
23%
21%
55%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 0
CEN
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CEN
0 - 1
CHA
11%
20%
69%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
CEN
0 - 5
SSM
11%
20%
69%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
UME
4 - 1
CEN
84%
11%
4%
|
29 | 56 | 27 | -1 |