Taubaté vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
51.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taubaté
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 1
TAU
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
TAU
0 - 1
JUV
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
ATI
2 - 2
TAU
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
TAU
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
TAU
3 - 0
SAO
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
SAO
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
JUV
0 - 0
POR
22%
26%
53%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
ATI
0 - 3
POR
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
TAU
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
POR
1 - 0
CAX
57%
26%
17%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |