Tartu FC Santos vs Kuressaare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tartu FC Santos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
KUR
1 - 3
TFS
36%
22%
43%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
TFS
1 - 2
NOM
72%
16%
12%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
TFS
5 - 1
KIV
64%
17%
19%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
LEV
7 - 0
TFS
64%
19%
17%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
TFS
0 - 4
TIN
43%
23%
34%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Kuressaare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
KUR
1 - 3
TFS
36%
22%
43%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
KIV
4 - 2
KUR
61%
19%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
KUR
3 - 6
LEV
20%
21%
60%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
KUR
4 - 4
TIN
24%
23%
53%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
KUR
4 - 2
TAA
85%
10%
5%
|
42 | 14 | 28 | +1 |