Tarnby U21 vs BGA U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
50.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tarnby U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
KAS
6 - 2
TAR
67%
18%
16%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
AVA
7 - 1
TAR
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2015 |
HEL
3 - 1
TAR
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2015 |
TAR
0 - 7
VAN
23%
21%
56%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2015 |
TAR
0 - 2
AVA
23%
21%
56%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
BGA U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
BGA
1 - 3
AVA
31%
22%
47%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |